Rent growth shows little fluctuation in January: Redfin

Key Takeaways:

– Median U.S. asking rent increased by 1.1% year over year in January
– Rent growth is lower than during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic
– Rent growth rates in 2022 ranged from 4.8% to 17.7%, while in 2023 it ranged from -2.1% to +2.4%
– New apartments hitting the market and under construction are increasing options for renters
– Vacancy rates increased to 6.6% in the fourth quarter
– Rent prices have not significantly declined due to high demand for rental units and slower growth in home prices compared to rents
– Some landlords are offering price incentives to attract renters
– Renting is more financially feasible than buying for many due to stable rent prices and modest mortgage rate decreases
– Buying a house in this market may make sense for affluent buyers who can afford a large down payment
– Midwest saw the highest increase in median asking rent at 4.6%, followed by the Northeast at 2.3% and the West at 0.6%
– Midwest and Northeast regions had less new construction, leading to less pressure on landlords to fill vacancies.


The median U.S. asking rent reached $1,964 in January, rising by 1.1% year over year, according to a Redfin report

While rent growth was positive in January, it remains a far cry from the double-digit growth recorded during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. As landlords grapple with higher vacancy rates, they don’t have the leverage necessary to command high rent prices. 

Throughout 2023, yearly rent growth rates hovered between -2.1% and +2.4%, signaling that appreciation is back under control. In 2022, rent growth rates spanned a much wider spectrum of 4.8% to 17.7%, Redfin reported.

An abundance of new apartments recently hit the market, giving renters more options to choose from. Meanwhile, more apartments are under construction. Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather expects apartment completions to peak in 2024. As a result, vacancies ticked up to a rate of 6.6% in the fourth quarter.

Rents have stopped surging, but they also have not posted any significant declines. Amid the high mortgage rate environment, many prospective home seekers chose to postpone their purchase plans and rented an apartment instead. 

Elevated demand for rental units has kept rent prices afloat, due in part to the fact that home prices have been increasing at a much faster pace than rents. Additionally, some landlords are still offering one-time price incentives to attract renters.

“There’s not a huge incentive for renters to buy right now,” Fairweather said in the report. ”Asking rents are stable, and while mortgage rates have dipped in recent months, they haven’t fallen enough to make the financial equation of homebuying feasible for many people. If you’re a renter who’s interested in buying but isn’t in a rush, there’s not much downside to waiting for mortgage rates to fall and your savings to grow.”

Buying a house in this market can make sense for more affluent buyers who can afford a large down payment and offset the price of elevated mortgage rates, according to Fairweather. 

Regional differences

The median asking rent increased the most in the Midwest, jumping 4.6% year over year to reach a record high of $1,437 in January. Rent prices grew by 2.3% in the Northeast to $2,427, and by 0.6% in the West to $2,358. Asking rents remained unchanged in the South at $1,637. 

The Midwest and the Northeast offered the most growth in rents because there has not been as much new construction in these regions. Landlords have less pressure to fill vacancies in these markets, Redfin reported. 

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Property Chomp’s Take:

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